Sugar and high fructose corn syrup consumption shifts- change in tastes or relative prices?

Abstract

Historically, sugar from beets and sugar cane was the world’s main source of sweetener. As sugar prices increased over time, High Fructose Corn Syrup (HFCS), a corn-based sweetener, became a near substitute for sugar. As a result, the use of HFCS increased and sugar use dropped. However, in the United States, since 2002, the per-capita consumption of HFCS has consistently decreased while per-capita sugar consumption has increased. Conversely, Mexican per-capita HFCS consumption has risen and per-capita sugar consumption has declined. Are the shifts in per-capita consumption of sugar and HFCS due to a change in tastes, a change in the relative prices of sugar and HFCS, or both? Using a log-linear model of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) analysis we show that the shift in per-capita consumption of sugar and HFCS is significantly influenced by changing relative prices.

Publication
International Sugar Journal, 115 (1376)